Reports from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the strong tropical wave located near Barbados is producing winds of 40 to 45 mph. Regardless of whether or not the system becomes a tropical storm before it moves through the Lesser Antilles, tropical-storm-force winds and heavy rains will spread across Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, and St. Lucia today. Satellite and surface observations suggest that the circulation associated with the system has become better defined, and the reconnaissance aircraft is beginning its mission to determine if a tropical storm has formed. The system is moving westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph, and is expected to pass over the Lesser Antilles later today, and move over the southeastern Caribbean Sea tonight and Thursday. Interests in the Windward and southern Leeward Islands should consult products issued by your national meteorological service, including possible tropical storm warnings or watches. Interests in Bonaire, Curacao, Aruba, and along the northern coast of South America should also monitor the progress of this disturbance. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms along the coast of the western Gulf of Mexico are associated with a weak low pressure area near Tampico, Mexico. This low is forecast to move inland later today or tonight and significant development of this system is not expected.
An upper level low pressure system over the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley will keep rainfall well away from North-Central Texas. An upper level ridge over the Southern Plains and Texas will result in mostly sunny conditions with seasonably warm high temperatures in the lower to middle 80s. Morning lows will be in the 60s. No rainfall is expected. Weather conditions should be ideal for outdoor activities.